Robust El Niño may make 2024 the primary 12 months during which world warming exceeds 1.5°C

Early models suggest the world’s climate could shift to an El Niño pattern by the end of 2023, which could increase average global temperatures

go through Madeleine Cuffs

A global shift to an El Niño climate pattern later this year could pave the way for the world to warm by 1.5°C for the first time in 2024, according to the Met Office.

The agency’s new model shows that current Three-year La Niña phase is due to end in March, which looks likely to lead to an El Niño later in the year.

“exist……