Tom Brady’s impending free agency officially kicked off after a 31-14 loss to the Dallas Cowboys in what will be one of the biggest stories of the NFL offseason. The most accomplished NFL player of all time may be looking for a new home.
Reports suggest teams will be lining up for his services, but that might not be a good idea. As we all know, Brady is no longer the old Brady this year. Everything is a challenge and the team fought hard.
One thing Brady does is win, but even in the very weak NFC South, that’s tough. The team finished 8-9 (and 0-1 in the playoffs), and several of those wins came at the last second, with great luck.
Tom Brady is having one of his worst seasons
His numbers are also on the decline. Although he leads the NFL in passes and completions, he has nearly 700 fewer passing yards than he did last season.
He also missed 18 touchdowns. His 3.4 touchdown rate was a career low. He’s doing it all with an NFL-low 2.9 percent hit rate, so he’s not under duress all the time.
His average of 6.4 passes per attempt was his lowest since 2002. It wasn’t a bad year, but it does look like Brady is in serious decline.
Perhaps the most obvious sign is the absolute value statistics of the professional football reference. This attempts to assign value to a player’s season. Brady’s AV in 2022 is 10. He’s never had such a low overall before.
How is it different from previous seasons, when there was an argument that he should have won Aaron Rodgers’ MVP? The offense added former All-Pro Julio Jones and changed the head coach.
That could mean that, at this point in his career, Brady needs an absolutely perfect environment to be successful. That’s not the case for most teams looking to sign him.
Retiring last season was pointless, coming off a near-MVP run that shows no signs of slowing down.Now, while unlikely, this could be his best options.
The Las Vegas Raiders have Tom Brady’s former offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, Davante Adams and possibly Josh Jacobs.
Has Brady, 45, really improved that much? Derek Carr? Probably not.
The Miami Dolphins don’t know what to do with Tua Tagovailoa’s health issues. Is fading Tom Brady worth a shot? Probably not.